Auda 1-3 Rigas Skola — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 21 Jun 2024

📅21/06/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
4.48
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
47%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.0
Over 2.5
47%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.76
No
53%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
13%
1/X
10%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
6%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
19%
+9.9pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.0pp
47%
Away Win
57%
-10.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
46%
+6.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
54%
-6.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.1pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Auda EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Rigas Skola EU Bookmakers 61%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -8%
1.00/1.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/0.95
+10% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -8%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
239 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 42.7
Crosses 30.0
2.8 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Auda
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Rigas Skola
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.51 xG 2.13
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
362 Passes 368
82% Pass Accuracy 83%
13 Box Touches 34
13 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 2
01.05.2024 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola 2-1 HT 1-1 Auda Auda LET
08.03.2024 Auda Auda 1-2 HT 0-1 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola LET
07.10.2023 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola 3-0 HT 1-0 Auda Auda LET
23.07.2023 Auda Auda 2-5 HT 0-0 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola LET
21.05.2023 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola 2-0 HT 2-0 Auda Auda LET
10.04.2023 Auda Auda 0-0 HT 0-0 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Auda
1-3
AWAY Rigas Skola
1.60 xG 1.66
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 10
4 Corners 6
424 Passes 390
84% Pass Accuracy 81%
20 Box Touches 38
11 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Auda vs Rigas Skola
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rigas Skola got the better of Auda 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Rigas Skola as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Auda had 52% of the ball to Rigas Skola's 48%, shots finished 13-16, expected goals 1.60 to 1.66.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rigas Skola led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Auda and 2.33 for Rigas Skola.

What was the final score of Auda vs Rigas Skola?

Auda 1-3 Rigas Skola in the Latvia - Virsliga on 21/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Auda vs Rigas Skola?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rigas Skola win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Auda 29%, draw 24%, Rigas Skola 47%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rigas Skola) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rigas Skola) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
LET More Latvia - Virsliga
21 Jun 2024
18:00 BFC Daugavpils vs FS Jelgava Analysis →