Rigas Skola 2-1 Auda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 1 May 2024

📅01/05/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.43
Draw
25%
4.19
Away
23%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.97
Over 2.5
47%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.96
No
55%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
11%
2/2
11%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
65%
-13.0pp
25%
Draw
20%
+4.7pp
22%
Away Win
14%
+8.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
47%
+6.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
53%
-6.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.5pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rigas Skola EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Auda EU Bookmakers 17%
-5% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
2.48/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/0.73
+11% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +12%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
433 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 206 · 68%
38.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
30.6 Crosses 14.0
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rigas Skola
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Auda
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.24 xG 0.55
50% Ball Possession 50%
19 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
369 Passes 380
83% Pass Accuracy 82%
37 Box Touches 12
26 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.03.2024 Auda Auda 1-2 HT 0-1 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola LET
07.10.2023 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola 3-0 HT 1-0 Auda Auda LET
23.07.2023 Auda Auda 2-5 HT 0-0 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola LET
21.05.2023 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola 2-0 HT 2-0 Auda Auda LET
10.04.2023 Auda Auda 0-0 HT 0-0 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola LET
19.10.2022 Auda Auda 1-0 HT 1-0 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola LETK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rigas Skola
2-1
AWAY Auda
1.58 xG 0.31
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 2
364 Passes 273
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
21 Box Touches 17
18 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Rigas Skola vs Auda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rigas Skola nicked a narrow win over Auda 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Rigas Skola as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Rigas Skola had 56% of the ball to Auda's 44%, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 1.58 to 0.31 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Rigas Skola's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rigas Skola had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Rigas Skola and 0.67 for Auda.

What was the final score of Rigas Skola vs Auda?

Rigas Skola 2-1 Auda in the Latvia - Virsliga on 01/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rigas Skola vs Auda?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rigas Skola win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Rigas Skola 52%, draw 25%, Auda 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rigas Skola) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rigas Skola) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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