Metta / LU Riga 1-1 Valmiera / BSS — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 1 May 2024

Metta / LU Riga
1-1 HT 1-0
Valmiera / BSS
📅01/05/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
Latvia - Virsliga – 2024

Metta / LU Riga vs Valmiera / BSS Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
5.91
Draw
23%
4.19
Away
54%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.86
Over 2.5
49%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.13
No
54%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
8%
X/2
21%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
26%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
14%
+9.4pp
23%
Draw
20%
+2.3pp
54%
Away Win
66%
-11.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
50%
+0.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
50%
-0.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
43%
+2.9pp
54%
BTTS No
57%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Metta / LU Riga v Valmiera / BSS — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Metta / LU Riga EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Valmiera / BSS EU Bookmakers 70%
+8% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -16%
1.15/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.80/1.04
+34% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -11%
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
174 · 63% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 420 · 79%
17.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.9
17.3 Crosses 28.3
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.2

Metta / LU Riga vs Valmiera / BSS Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Metta / LU Riga
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Valmiera / BSS
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.16 xG 1.40
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
286 Passes 356
72% Pass Accuracy 78%
17 Box Touches 25
14 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
10.03.2024 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga 0-2 HT 0-0 Valmiera / BSS Valmiera / BSS LET
29.10.2023 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga 4-1 HT 1-1 Valmiera / BSS Valmiera / BSS LET
06.08.2023 Valmiera / BSS Valmiera / BSS 2-1 HT 0-1 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga LET
31.05.2023 Valmiera / BSS Valmiera / BSS 1-1 HT 0-0 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga LET
20.04.2023 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga 0-1 HT 0-0 Valmiera / BSS Valmiera / BSS LET
09.10.2022 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga 1-4 HT 0-1 Valmiera / BSS Valmiera / BSS LET

Metta / LU Riga 1-1 Valmiera / BSS — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Metta / LU Riga
1-1
AWAY Valmiera / BSS
0.55 xG 2.23
37% Ball Possession 63%
8 Total Shots 34
1 Shots on Target 10
2 Corners 9
218 Passes 440
69% Pass Accuracy 86%
12 Box Touches 49
10 Crosses 47
POST-MATCH Metta / LU Riga vs Valmiera / BSS
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Metta / LU Riga and Valmiera / BSS couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Valmiera / BSS at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Metta / LU Riga had 37% of the ball to Valmiera / BSS's 63%, shots finished 8-34, expected goals 0.55 to 2.23.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Valmiera / BSS led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Metta / LU Riga and 1.83 for Valmiera / BSS.

What was the final score of Metta / LU Riga vs Valmiera / BSS?

Metta / LU Riga 1-1 Valmiera / BSS in the Latvia - Virsliga on 01/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Metta / LU Riga vs Valmiera / BSS?

Before kick-off our model rated an Valmiera / BSS win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Metta / LU Riga 23%, draw 23%, Valmiera / BSS 54%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Valmiera / BSS), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Valmiera / BSS) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
LET More Latvia - Virsliga
1 May 2024
16:00 Rigas Skola vs Auda Analysis →