Ikorodu City 6-0 Katsina United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 10 Apr 2025

📅10/04/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.53
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
19%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under
56%
1.52
Over
44%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.53
No Pick
60%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2-3
45%
4-5
15%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
6%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
61%
-9.5pp
29%
Draw
25%
+4.2pp
19%
Away Win
14%
+5.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
62%
-5.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
38%
+5.8pp
40%
BTTS Yes
36%
+4.9pp
60%
BTTS No
64%
-4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ikorodu City EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Katsina United EU Bookmakers 17%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -2%
2.49/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.40/1.33
+62% / -53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / +4%
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
364 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 222 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.6 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ikorodu City
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Katsina United
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
10.11.2024 Katsina United Katsina United 1-2 HT 1-1 Ikorodu City Ikorodu City NIJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ikorodu City
6-0
AWAY Katsina United
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ikorodu City vs Katsina United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ikorodu City cruised past Katsina United 6-0. Half-time: 2-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ikorodu City as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 6-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (60%) landed while under 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

On the day, Ikorodu City had 58% of the ball to Katsina United's 42%, shots finished 14-7.

What was the final score of Ikorodu City vs Katsina United?

Ikorodu City 6-0 Katsina United in the Nigeria NPFL on 10/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ikorodu City vs Katsina United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ikorodu City win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Ikorodu City 52%, draw 29%, Katsina United 19%. The final score 6-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ikorodu City), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ikorodu City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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