Katsina United 1-2 Ikorodu City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 10 Nov 2024

📅10/11/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.57
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
18%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.48
Over 2.5
40%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.53
No
58%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
60%
-5.0pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.4pp
18%
Away Win
15%
+3.4pp
60%
Under 2.5
64%
-4.0pp
40%
Over 2.5
36%
+4.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
36%
+6.8pp
58%
BTTS No
64%
-6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Katsina United EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Ikorodu City EU Bookmakers 18%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
2.10/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.51/1.98
+29% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -28%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
318 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Katsina United vs Ikorodu City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ikorodu City nicked a narrow win over Katsina United 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Katsina United at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Katsina United vs Ikorodu City?

Katsina United 1-2 Ikorodu City in the Nigeria NPFL on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Katsina United vs Ikorodu City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Katsina United win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Katsina United 55%, draw 27%, Ikorodu City 18%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Katsina United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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