Rivers United 0-1 Bayelsa United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 10 Nov 2024

📅10/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
71%
1.22
Draw
19%
5.15
Away
10%
12.05
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
1.82
Over 2.5
57%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
3.08
No
57%
1.32
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
43%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
3%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
3%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
71%
Home Win
78%
-6.3pp
19%
Draw
16%
+2.5pp
10%
Away Win
6%
+3.9pp
43%
Under 2.5
51%
-8.0pp
57%
Over 2.5
49%
+8.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
28%
+15.0pp
57%
BTTS No
72%
-15.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rivers United EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Bayelsa United EU Bookmakers 8%
+7% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
2.19/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.47/1.53
+13% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +11%
63% Ball Possession 37%
16 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
358 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 206 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rivers United
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Bayelsa United
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
30.04.2024 Bayelsa United Bayelsa United 2-1 HT 2-1 Rivers United Rivers United NIJ
29.04.2024 Bayelsa United Bayelsa United 1-0 HT 1-0 Rivers United Rivers United NIJ
POST-MATCH Rivers United vs Bayelsa United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bayelsa United nicked a narrow win over Rivers United 1-0 away from home.

This one beat our numbers. Rivers United carried 71% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. On goals, no to both teams scoring (57%) landed while over 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Bayelsa United led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Rivers United and 1.50 for Bayelsa United.

What was the final score of Rivers United vs Bayelsa United?

Rivers United 0-1 Bayelsa United in the Nigeria NPFL on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rivers United vs Bayelsa United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rivers United win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split Rivers United 71%, draw 19%, Bayelsa United 10%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Rivers United), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rivers United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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