Niger Tornadoes 1-0 Akwa United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 10 Nov 2024

📅10/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.42
Draw
30%
3.8
Away
16%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.48
Over 2.5
36%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
3.06
No
59%
1.32
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
5%
X/X
18%
2/1
10%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
66%
-12.0pp
30%
Draw
23%
+7.1pp
16%
Away Win
11%
+4.8pp
64%
Under 2.5
64%
-0.2pp
36%
Over 2.5
36%
+0.2pp
41%
BTTS Yes
28%
+12.4pp
59%
BTTS No
72%
-12.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Niger Tornadoes EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Akwa United EU Bookmakers 14%
+1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -3%
1.42/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.56/1.31
-14% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +26%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
320 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Niger Tornadoes
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Akwa United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
16.04.2024 Akwa United Akwa United 4-1 HT 2-0 Niger Tornadoes Niger Tornadoes NIJ
26.11.2023 Niger Tornadoes Niger Tornadoes 1-0 HT 0-0 Akwa United Akwa United NIJ
POST-MATCH Niger Tornadoes vs Akwa United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Niger Tornadoes edged past Akwa United 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Niger Tornadoes as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Niger Tornadoes and 2.00 for Akwa United.

What was the final score of Niger Tornadoes vs Akwa United?

Niger Tornadoes 1-0 Akwa United in the Nigeria NPFL on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Niger Tornadoes vs Akwa United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Niger Tornadoes win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Niger Tornadoes 54%, draw 30%, Akwa United 16%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Niger Tornadoes), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Niger Tornadoes) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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