Chengdu Qianbao 4-2 Henan Jianye — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 10 May 2024

📅10/05/2024 · 🕒14:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.49
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
23%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.21
Over 2.5
48%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.75
No
55%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
4.4
2-3 Goals
37%
1.89
4-5 Goals
25%
2.94
6+ Goals
10%
8.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.4 — our 28% vs market 17.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1.83
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
16.4
X/1
12%
3.79
X/2
6%
12.5
X/X
13%
6.26
2/1
8%
21.35
2/2
11%
9.35
2/X
7%
17.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
63%
-11.0pp
26%
Draw
21%
+4.2pp
23%
Away Win
16%
+6.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
41%
+10.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
59%
-10.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
53%
-8.5pp
55%
BTTS No
47%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chengdu Qianbao EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Henan Jianye EU Bookmakers 19%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -33% / -33%
1.84/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.79
-2% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / -34%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
334 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 76%
29.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.3
27.1 Crosses 18.7
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chengdu Qianbao
2W-2D-0L
AWAY Henan Jianye
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.25
0.92 xG 0.35
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 4
255 Passes 260
74% Pass Accuracy 76%
18 Box Touches 10
14 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.07.2023 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao 2-0 HT 0-0 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye ÇİNSL
16.04.2023 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye 1-1 HT 0-1 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao ÇİN
05.12.2022 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye 0-1 HT 0-0 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao ÇİN
25.09.2022 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao 0-0 HT 0-0 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chengdu Qianbao
4-2
AWAY Henan Jianye
1.83 xG 1.14
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
291 Passes 206
77% Pass Accuracy 71%
21 Box Touches 23
22 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Chengdu Qianbao vs Henan Jianye
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chengdu Qianbao got the better of Henan Jianye 4-2. Half-time: 3-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Chengdu Qianbao as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Chengdu Qianbao had 57% of the ball to Henan Jianye's 43%, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 1.83 to 1.14.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Chengdu Qianbao had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Chengdu Qianbao and 0.25 for Henan Jianye.

What was the final score of Chengdu Qianbao vs Henan Jianye?

Chengdu Qianbao 4-2 Henan Jianye in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 10/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chengdu Qianbao vs Henan Jianye?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chengdu Qianbao win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Chengdu Qianbao 52%, draw 26%, Henan Jianye 23%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chengdu Qianbao) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chengdu Qianbao) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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