Shanghai Port 5-2 Changchun YaTai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 10 May 2024

📅10/05/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.18
Draw
19%
7.13
Away
18%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
3.94
Over 2.5
58%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.81
No
47%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
9.43
2-3 Goals
30%
2.48
4-5 Goals
30%
2.33
6+ Goals
15%
3.64
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1.26
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
4%
34.0
X/1
23%
3.61
X/2
11%
32.5
X/X
11%
14.4
2/1
11%
19.15
2/2
3%
21.45
2/X
4%
31.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
80%
-17.2pp
19%
Draw
11%
+7.7pp
18%
Away Win
8%
+9.5pp
42%
Under 2.5
22%
+20.1pp
58%
Over 2.5
78%
-20.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.7pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shanghai Port EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Changchun YaTai EU Bookmakers 11%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
2.55/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.63/2.29
-20% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +0%
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
479 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 73%
29.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.2
25.2 Crosses 11.2
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shanghai Port
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Changchun YaTai
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
2.22 xG 0.90
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
427 Passes 310
85% Pass Accuracy 80%
30 Box Touches 13
21 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
15.09.2023 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port 2-0 HT 0-0 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai ÇİN
29.05.2023 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai 0-3 HT 0-3 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port ÇİN
31.12.2022 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port 4-0 HT 4-0 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai ÇİN
09.10.2022 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai 1-4 HT 1-2 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port ÇİN
03.08.2021 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai 2-1 HT 0-0 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port ÇİN
11.05.2021 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port 0-0 HT 0-0 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai ÇİNSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shanghai Port
5-2
AWAY Changchun YaTai
3.88 xG 1.18
55% Ball Possession 45%
25 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 2
440 Passes 346
84% Pass Accuracy 79%
41 Box Touches 13
24 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Shanghai Port vs Changchun YaTai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shanghai Port ran out comfortable winners over Changchun YaTai 5-2. Half-time: 3-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Shanghai Port as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Shanghai Port had 55% of the ball to Changchun YaTai's 45%, shots finished 25-14, expected goals 3.88 to 1.18.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shanghai Port had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Shanghai Port and 0.50 for Changchun YaTai.

What was the final score of Shanghai Port vs Changchun YaTai?

Shanghai Port 5-2 Changchun YaTai in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 10/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shanghai Port vs Changchun YaTai?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shanghai Port win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Shanghai Port 63%, draw 19%, Changchun YaTai 18%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shanghai Port), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Shanghai Port) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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ÇİNSL More China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League
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