Luzern 1-1 Grasshoppers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 10 May 2024

📅10/05/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.89
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
23%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.21
Over 2.5
48%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.56
No
48%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
4.48
2-3 Goals
43%
1.89
4-5 Goals
18%
2.92
6+ Goals
10%
8.51
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.48 — our 29% vs market 17.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.46
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
10%
12.85
X/1 EV+ ✗
23%
4.59
X/2
9%
8.13
X/X
13%
5.41
2/1
6%
21.85
2/2
9%
5.48
2/X
5%
13.3
Value flag · X/1 at 4.59 — our 23% vs market 17.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
49%
-0.6pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.2pp
23%
Away Win
26%
-2.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
41%
+10.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
59%
-10.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.2pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Luzern EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Grasshoppers EU Bookmakers 29%
+2% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -6%
1.58/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.53
-6% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +2%
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
308 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 78%
25.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.8
20.2 Crosses 17.3
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Luzern
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Grasshoppers
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.94 xG 0.96
54% Ball Possession 46%
18 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
346 Passes 283
79% Pass Accuracy 76%
33 Box Touches 24
21 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.02.2024 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers 0-1 HT 0-0 Luzern Luzern İSV
05.11.2023 Luzern Luzern 2-0 HT 1-0 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers İSV
27.08.2023 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers 0-1 HT 0-0 Luzern Luzern İSV
13.05.2023 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers 2-0 HT 0-0 Luzern Luzern İSV
26.02.2023 Luzern Luzern 1-0 HT 0-0 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers İSV
07.12.2022 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers 0-0 HT 0-0 Luzern Luzern HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Luzern
1-1
AWAY Grasshoppers
1.69 xG 1.84
60% Ball Possession 40%
10 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
372 Passes 200
83% Pass Accuracy 69%
36 Box Touches 34
23 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Luzern vs Grasshoppers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Luzern and Grasshoppers shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Luzern at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Luzern had 60% of the ball to Grasshoppers's 40%, shots finished 10-16, expected goals 1.69 to 1.84.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Luzern had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Luzern and 0.33 for Grasshoppers.

What was the final score of Luzern vs Grasshoppers?

Luzern 1-1 Grasshoppers in the Switzerland - Super League on 10/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Luzern vs Grasshoppers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Luzern win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Luzern 49%, draw 28%, Grasshoppers 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Luzern) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Luzern) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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İSV More Switzerland - Super League
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