Grasshoppers 0-1 Luzern — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 24 Feb 2024

📅24/02/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.99
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
41%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.86
Over 2.5
52%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.26
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
3.61
6+ Goals
11%
14.65
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.61 — our 25% vs market 22.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.79
1/2
6%
25.5
1/X
11%
13.7
X/1
9%
6.59
X/2
15%
4.68
X/X
13%
4.65
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
34.5
2/2
19%
2.97
2/X
5%
13.4
Value flag · 2/1 at 34.5 — our 9% vs market 1.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
30%
+1.1pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.9pp
41%
Away Win
44%
-3.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
50%
-2.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
50%
+2.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.5pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Grasshoppers EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Luzern EU Bookmakers 48%
-2% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +13%
1.24/1.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.08/1.18
+46% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +23%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
261 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 371 · 79%
19.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.8
17.0 Crosses 21.2
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Grasshoppers
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Luzern
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.00 xG 1.90
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
319 Passes 315
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
25 Box Touches 30
20 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.11.2023 Luzern Luzern 2-0 HT 1-0 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers İSV
27.08.2023 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers 0-1 HT 0-0 Luzern Luzern İSV
13.05.2023 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers 2-0 HT 0-0 Luzern Luzern İSV
26.02.2023 Luzern Luzern 1-0 HT 0-0 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers İSV
07.12.2022 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers 0-0 HT 0-0 Luzern Luzern HAZ
29.10.2022 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers 1-3 HT 1-2 Luzern Luzern İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Grasshoppers
0-1
AWAY Luzern
0.69 xG 1.68
39% Ball Possession 61%
14 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 2
225 Passes 405
71% Pass Accuracy 80%
13 Box Touches 39
15 Crosses 11
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Grasshoppers vs Luzern
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Luzern edged past Grasshoppers 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Luzern as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Grasshoppers had 39% of the ball to Luzern's 61%, shots finished 14-18, expected goals 0.69 to 1.68.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Luzern led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Grasshoppers and 1.17 for Luzern.

What was the final score of Grasshoppers vs Luzern?

Grasshoppers 0-1 Luzern in the Switzerland - Super League on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Grasshoppers vs Luzern?

Before kick-off our model rated an Luzern win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Grasshoppers 31%, draw 28%, Luzern 41%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Luzern) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Luzern) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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