St. Gallen 1-0 Stade Ouchy — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 24 Feb 2024

📅24/02/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.47
Draw
19%
4.19
Away
22%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.51
Over 2.5
55%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.63
No
47%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
5.47
2-3 Goals
40%
2.01
4-5 Goals
29%
2.66
6+ Goals
10%
6.44
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1.76
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
16.45
X/1
17%
3.89
X/2
8%
13.1
X/X
7%
7.03
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
19.9
2/2
8%
9.13
2/X
8%
16.8
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.9 — our 7% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
63%
-4.5pp
19%
Draw
20%
-1.3pp
22%
Away Win
16%
+5.8pp
45%
Under 2.5
36%
+8.7pp
55%
Over 2.5
64%
-8.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
57%
-3.9pp
47%
BTTS No
43%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Gallen EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Stade Ouchy EU Bookmakers 20%
-2% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
2.05/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.84
+5% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +31%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
378 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 74%
30.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
19.1 Crosses 7.0
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Gallen
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Stade Ouchy
4.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.85 xG 0.78
46% Ball Possession 53%
20 Total Shots 11
10 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 5
268 Passes 317
76% Pass Accuracy 78%
30 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 8
0 Yellow Cards 2
05.11.2023 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy 2-5 HT 2-1 St. Gallen St. Gallen İSV
07.10.2023 St. Gallen St. Gallen 4-0 HT 2-0 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME St. Gallen
1-0
AWAY Stade Ouchy
2.49 xG 0.18
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 1
367 Passes 233
80% Pass Accuracy 68%
39 Box Touches 12
26 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH St. Gallen vs Stade Ouchy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Gallen edged past Stade Ouchy 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had St. Gallen as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, St. Gallen had 58% of the ball to Stade Ouchy's 42%, shots finished 18-6, expected goals 2.49 to 0.18 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold St. Gallen's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, St. Gallen had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 4.50 goals for St. Gallen and 1.00 for Stade Ouchy.

What was the final score of St. Gallen vs Stade Ouchy?

St. Gallen 1-0 Stade Ouchy in the Switzerland - Super League on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Gallen vs Stade Ouchy?

Before kick-off our model rated a St. Gallen win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split St. Gallen 59%, draw 19%, Stade Ouchy 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St. Gallen) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (St. Gallen) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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