Yverdon 0-2 Basel — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 24 Feb 2024

📅24/02/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.8
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
30%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.82
Over 2.5
45%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.22
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.64
6+ Goals
8%
14.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.22 — our 29% vs market 25.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.4
1/2
5%
27.0
1/X
8%
13.2
X/1
15%
6.22
X/2
9%
4.99
X/X
16%
4.49
2/1
8%
32.5
2/2
16%
3.23
2/X
6%
13.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
32%
+7.7pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.2pp
30%
Away Win
41%
-10.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
51%
+3.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
49%
-3.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.8pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yverdon EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Basel EU Bookmakers 45%
+11% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -16%
1.50/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.41
+9% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +1%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
296 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 79%
17.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.2
15.0 Crosses 16.9
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yverdon
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Basel
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.71 xG 1.23
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
401 Passes 261
83% Pass Accuracy 75%
15 Box Touches 27
6 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
05.11.2023 Basel Basel 2-1 HT 1-0 Yverdon Yverdon İSV
24.09.2023 Yverdon Yverdon 3-2 HT 1-1 Basel Basel İSV
03.05.2006 Yverdon Yverdon 1-3 HT 0-1 Basel Basel İSV
26.02.2006 Basel Basel 2-1 HT 1-1 Yverdon Yverdon İSV
29.10.2005 Basel Basel 3-1 HT 2-1 Yverdon Yverdon İSV
06.08.2005 Yverdon Yverdon 1-2 HT 0-1 Basel Basel İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yverdon
0-2
AWAY Basel
1.07 xG 1.54
46% Ball Possession 54%
21 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 7
12 Corners 3
278 Passes 352
75% Pass Accuracy 79%
37 Box Touches 42
23 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Yverdon vs Basel
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Basel got the better of Yverdon 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (40% / 30% / 30%) promised a tight game; Basel found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Yverdon had 46% of the ball to Basel's 54%, shots finished 21-18, expected goals 1.07 to 1.54.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Basel led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Yverdon and 2.33 for Basel.

What was the final score of Yverdon vs Basel?

Yverdon 0-2 Basel in the Switzerland - Super League on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yverdon vs Basel?

Before kick-off our model rated a Yverdon win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Yverdon 40%, draw 30%, Basel 30%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Yverdon), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Yverdon) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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