Fjölnir 1-0 Leiknir Reykjavik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - 1st Division, 10 May 2024

📅10/05/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.96
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
30%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.59
Over 2.5
57%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.41
No
41%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
21%
X/2
8%
X/X
6%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
47%
-0.4pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.3pp
30%
Away Win
30%
+0.1pp
43%
Under 2.5
35%
+8.0pp
57%
Over 2.5
65%
-8.0pp
59%
BTTS Yes
67%
-7.9pp
41%
BTTS No
33%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fjölnir EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Leiknir Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 34%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
2.24/0.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/1.82
+25% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +0%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
417 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fjölnir
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Leiknir Reykjavik
3.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 10
3 Yellow Cards 2
09.09.2023 Leiknir Reykjavik Leiknir Reykjavik 1-2 HT 1-2 Fjölnir Fjölnir İZL1
06.07.2023 Fjölnir Fjölnir 4-1 HT 1-0 Leiknir Reykjavik Leiknir Reykjavik İZL1
28.02.2021 Leiknir Reykjavik Leiknir Reykjavik 3-4 HT 1-1 Fjölnir Fjölnir İZLK
17.04.2019 Leiknir Reykjavik Leiknir Reykjavik 1-4 HT 0-0 Fjölnir Fjölnir İZK
13.09.2015 Leiknir Reykjavik Leiknir Reykjavik 2-3 HT 2-1 Fjölnir Fjölnir İZL
15.06.2015 Fjölnir Fjölnir 3-0 HT 0-0 Leiknir Reykjavik Leiknir Reykjavik İZL
POST-MATCH Fjölnir vs Leiknir Reykjavik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fjölnir squeezed past Leiknir Reykjavik 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Fjölnir as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fjölnir had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 3.33 goals for Fjölnir and 1.33 for Leiknir Reykjavik.

What was the final score of Fjölnir vs Leiknir Reykjavik?

Fjölnir 1-0 Leiknir Reykjavik in the Iceland - 1st Division on 10/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fjölnir vs Leiknir Reykjavik?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fjölnir win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Fjölnir 46%, draw 23%, Leiknir Reykjavik 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fjölnir) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fjölnir) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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