Grotta 1-0 Keflavik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - 1st Division, 10 May 2024

📅10/05/2024 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.99
Draw
20%
3.72
Away
42%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
2.43
Over 2.5
65%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.46
No
39%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
29%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
25%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
30%
+8.4pp
20%
Draw
23%
-3.4pp
42%
Away Win
47%
-5.1pp
35%
Under 2.5
38%
-2.8pp
65%
Over 2.5
62%
+2.8pp
61%
BTTS Yes
64%
-3.2pp
39%
BTTS No
36%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Grotta EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Keflavik EU Bookmakers 51%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
2.02/2.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/2.00
+25% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -28%
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
336 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Grotta
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Keflavik
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
16.02.2024 Keflavik Keflavik 3-1 HT 1-1 Grotta Grotta İZLK
13.02.2021 Grotta Grotta 3-3 HT 3-1 Keflavik Keflavik İZLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Grotta
1-0
AWAY Keflavik
45% Ball Possession 55%
4 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Grotta vs Keflavik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Grotta edged past Keflavik 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 20% / 42% — and on the day Grotta made the difference. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Grotta had 45% of the ball to Keflavik's 55%, shots finished 4-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Keflavik led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Grotta and 3.00 for Keflavik.

What was the final score of Grotta vs Keflavik?

Grotta 1-0 Keflavik in the Iceland - 1st Division on 10/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Grotta vs Keflavik?

Before kick-off our model rated an Keflavik win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Grotta 38%, draw 20%, Keflavik 42%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Keflavik) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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