Dnepr Mogilev 1-1 FC Minsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 10 May 2024

📅10/05/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.18
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
30%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.56
Over 2.5
43%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.03
No
56%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.4
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
5.01
6+ Goals
9%
29.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
42%
+1.8pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.0pp
30%
Away Win
30%
+0.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
60%
-3.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
40%
+3.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
45%
-1.0pp
56%
BTTS No
55%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dnepr Mogilev EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Minsk EU Bookmakers 33%
-38% / -38% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -15%
0.64/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/1.26
-50% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +5%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
327 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dnepr Mogilev
0W-1D-2L
AWAY FC Minsk
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 2
30.10.2022 FC Minsk FC Minsk 1-0 HT 0-0 Dnepr Mogilev Dnepr Mogilev BLR
04.07.2022 Dnepr Mogilev Dnepr Mogilev 2-4 HT 0-1 FC Minsk FC Minsk BLR
04.05.2014 Dnepr Mogilev Dnepr Mogilev 1-1 HT 1-0 FC Minsk FC Minsk BLR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dnepr Mogilev
1-1
AWAY FC Minsk
53% Ball Possession 47%
21 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Dnepr Mogilev vs FC Minsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dnepr Mogilev and FC Minsk shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Dnepr Mogilev at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Dnepr Mogilev had 53% of the ball to FC Minsk's 47%, shots finished 21-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, FC Minsk led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Dnepr Mogilev and 2.00 for FC Minsk.

What was the final score of Dnepr Mogilev vs FC Minsk?

Dnepr Mogilev 1-1 FC Minsk in the Belarus - Premier League on 10/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dnepr Mogilev vs FC Minsk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dnepr Mogilev win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Dnepr Mogilev 44%, draw 26%, FC Minsk 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Dnepr Mogilev), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dnepr Mogilev) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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