Vitebsk vs Smorgon Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Vitebsk v Smorgon — Team-Based Signals
Vitebsk vs Smorgon Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Vitebsk
BLR
5-0
HT 2-0
Smorgon
BLR
Vitebsk 0-1 Smorgon — Actual Match Statistics
Smorgon edged past Vitebsk 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Vitebsk at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Vitebsk had 56% of the ball to Smorgon's 44%, shots finished 9-8.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Vitebsk and 1.00 for Smorgon.
What was the final score of Vitebsk vs Smorgon?
Vitebsk 0-1 Smorgon in the Belarus - Premier League on 10/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Vitebsk vs Smorgon?
Before kick-off our model rated a Vitebsk win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Vitebsk 42%, draw 26%, Smorgon 32%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.