Levski Krumovgrad 4-1 Lokomotiv Plovdiv — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 10 May 2024

📅10/05/2024 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.53
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
35%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.8
Over 2.5
49%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.75
No
47%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
11%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
36%
+1.6pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.6pp
35%
Away Win
37%
-2.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.3pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Levski Krumovgrad EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Lokomotiv Plovdiv EU Bookmakers 40%
+49% / +49% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
2.03/0.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.62/2.50
+107% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +111% / -58%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
271 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Levski Krumovgrad
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
02.03.2024 Levski Krumovgrad Levski Krumovgrad 3-1 HT 0-0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv BUL1
03.09.2023 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv 4-0 HT 2-0 Levski Krumovgrad Levski Krumovgrad BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Levski Krumovgrad
4-1
AWAY Lokomotiv Plovdiv
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
9 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Levski Krumovgrad vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Levski Krumovgrad ran out comfortable winners over Lokomotiv Plovdiv 4-1. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (38% / 28% / 35%) promised a tight game; Levski Krumovgrad found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Levski Krumovgrad had 52% of the ball to Lokomotiv Plovdiv's 48%, shots finished 13-12.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Levski Krumovgrad and 2.50 for Lokomotiv Plovdiv.

What was the final score of Levski Krumovgrad vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?

Levski Krumovgrad 4-1 Lokomotiv Plovdiv in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 10/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Levski Krumovgrad vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?

Before kick-off our model rated a Levski Krumovgrad win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Levski Krumovgrad 38%, draw 28%, Lokomotiv Plovdiv 35%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Levski Krumovgrad), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Levski Krumovgrad) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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