Levski Krumovgrad 3-1 Lokomotiv Plovdiv — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒16:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
35%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.59
Over 2.5
42%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.96
No
54%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
15%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
+0.2pp
31%
Draw
28%
+2.2pp
35%
Away Win
38%
-2.5pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.0pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.8pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Levski Krumovgrad EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Lokomotiv Plovdiv EU Bookmakers 42%
+40% / +40% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +43% / +43%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 4.00/2.51
+14% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -63%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
301 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 371 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Levski Krumovgrad
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Lokomotiv Plovdiv
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
03.09.2023 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv 4-0 HT 2-0 Levski Krumovgrad Levski Krumovgrad BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Levski Krumovgrad
3-1
AWAY Lokomotiv Plovdiv
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Levski Krumovgrad vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Levski Krumovgrad beat Lokomotiv Plovdiv 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (34% / 31% / 35%) promised a tight game; Levski Krumovgrad found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Levski Krumovgrad had 47% of the ball to Lokomotiv Plovdiv's 53%, shots finished 12-11.

What was the final score of Levski Krumovgrad vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?

Levski Krumovgrad 3-1 Lokomotiv Plovdiv in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Levski Krumovgrad vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lokomotiv Plovdiv win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Levski Krumovgrad 34%, draw 31%, Lokomotiv Plovdiv 35%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Lokomotiv Plovdiv) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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