Etar Veliko Tarnovo 1-2 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒13:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.27
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
33%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.59
Over 2.5
45%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.96
No
54%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
4%
1/X
12%
X/1
18%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
40%
-4.2pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.1pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+2.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
59%
-4.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
41%
+4.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.0pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Etar Veliko Tarnovo EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 EU Bookmakers 34%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +26% / +26%
2.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/0.74
+115% / -48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +24%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
264 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Etar Veliko Tarnovo
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
38% Ball Possession 62%
13 Total Shots 24
9 Shots on Target 10
1 Corners 10
4 Yellow Cards 2
02.09.2023 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 1-3 HT 1-2 Etar Veliko Tarnovo Etar Veliko Tarnovo BUL1
POST-MATCH Etar Veliko Tarnovo vs Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 squeezed past Etar Veliko Tarnovo 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 31% / 33% — and on the day Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Etar Veliko Tarnovo vs Lokomotiv Sofia 1929?

Etar Veliko Tarnovo 1-2 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Etar Veliko Tarnovo vs Lokomotiv Sofia 1929?

Before kick-off our model rated a Etar Veliko Tarnovo win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Etar Veliko Tarnovo 36%, draw 31%, Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 33%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Etar Veliko Tarnovo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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