Slavia Sofia 2-2 Botev Plovdiv — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒18:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.33
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
32%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.64
Over 2.5
39%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.9
No
59%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
19%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
39%
-0.9pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.7pp
31%
Away Win
32%
-0.8pp
61%
Under 2.5
57%
+3.8pp
39%
Over 2.5
43%
-3.7pp
41%
BTTS Yes
49%
-7.7pp
59%
BTTS No
51%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Slavia Sofia EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Botev Plovdiv EU Bookmakers 36%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
0.61/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/0.58
-38% / +75% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +61%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
325 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Slavia Sofia
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Botev Plovdiv
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.09.2023 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 3-1 HT 3-0 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia BUL1
29.05.2023 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 0-0 HT 0-0 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia BUL1
13.05.2023 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia 1-0 HT 0-0 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv BUL1
24.04.2023 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia 0-0 HT 0-0 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Slavia Sofia
2-2
AWAY Botev Plovdiv
39% Ball Possession 61%
7 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Slavia Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Slavia Sofia and Botev Plovdiv shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (38% / 30% / 31%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Slavia Sofia had 39% of the ball to Botev Plovdiv's 61%, shots finished 7-13.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Slavia Sofia and 0.75 for Botev Plovdiv.

What was the final score of Slavia Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv?

Slavia Sofia 2-2 Botev Plovdiv in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Slavia Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv?

Before kick-off our model rated a Slavia Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Slavia Sofia 38%, draw 30%, Botev Plovdiv 31%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Slavia Sofia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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