FAS 3-1 Aguila — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 10 May 2024

FAS
3-1 HT 2-1
Aguila
📅10/05/2024 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
36%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.62
Over 2.5
40%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.88
No
55%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+0.9pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.1pp
36%
Away Win
36%
+0.2pp
60%
Under 2.5
58%
+2.3pp
40%
Over 2.5
42%
-2.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.6pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FAS EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Aguila EU Bookmakers 40%
+1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -1%
0.98/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/0.85
-22% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +48%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
317 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FAS
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Aguila
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 4
05.05.2024 FAS FAS 0-0 HT 0-0 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
17.03.2024 Aguila Aguila 3-2 HT 2-1 FAS FAS ELSAL
23.11.2023 Aguila Aguila 1-1 HT 0-0 FAS FAS ELSAL
24.09.2023 FAS FAS 2-2 HT 2-0 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
13.04.2023 FAS FAS 2-1 HT 0-0 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
06.02.2023 Aguila Aguila 1-0 HT 1-0 FAS FAS ELSAL
POST-MATCH FAS vs Aguila
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FAS beat Aguila 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 29% / 36% — and on the day FAS made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aguila led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for FAS and 1.33 for Aguila.

What was the final score of FAS vs Aguila?

FAS 3-1 Aguila in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 10/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FAS vs Aguila?

Before kick-off our model rated an Aguila win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split FAS 35%, draw 29%, Aguila 36%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Aguila) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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