Aguila 3-2 FAS — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 17 Mar 2024

Aguila
3-2 HT 2-1
FAS
📅17/03/2024 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
El Salvador - Primera Liga – 2023/2024

Aguila vs FAS Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.25
Draw
35%
3.11
Away
27%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.48
Over 2.5
39%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.13
No
55%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
41%
-2.4pp
35%
Draw
29%
+6.1pp
27%
Away Win
30%
-3.6pp
61%
Under 2.5
64%
-2.7pp
39%
Over 2.5
36%
+2.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
43%
+2.1pp
55%
BTTS No
57%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Aguila v FAS — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aguila EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY FAS EU Bookmakers 34%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +9%
0.76/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/0.97
-40% / +68% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +35%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
287 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.4

Aguila vs FAS Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aguila
2W-2D-2L
AWAY FAS
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
23.11.2023 Aguila Aguila 1-1 HT 0-0 FAS FAS ELSAL
24.09.2023 FAS FAS 2-2 HT 2-0 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
13.04.2023 FAS FAS 2-1 HT 0-0 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
06.02.2023 Aguila Aguila 1-0 HT 1-0 FAS FAS ELSAL
06.11.2022 Aguila Aguila 1-0 HT 1-0 FAS FAS ELSAL
03.11.2022 FAS FAS 1-0 HT 0-0 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
POST-MATCH Aguila vs FAS
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aguila nicked a narrow win over FAS 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (38% / 35% / 27%) promised a tight game; Aguila found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Aguila and 1.00 for FAS.

What was the final score of Aguila vs FAS?

Aguila 3-2 FAS in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aguila vs FAS?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aguila win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Aguila 38%, draw 35%, FAS 27%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aguila) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Aguila) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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