Jocoro 0-2 Santa Tecla — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒00:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.25
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
27%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.75
Over 2.5
40%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.81
No
57%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
41%
+2.2pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.5pp
27%
Away Win
32%
-4.8pp
60%
Under 2.5
53%
+7.2pp
40%
Over 2.5
47%
-7.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
51%
-8.5pp
57%
BTTS No
49%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jocoro EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Santa Tecla EU Bookmakers 36%
+5% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -10%
1.73/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.39
+44% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -8%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
362 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jocoro
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Santa Tecla
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.10.2023 Jocoro Jocoro 3-1 HT 1-0 Santa Tecla Santa Tecla ELSAL
28.09.2023 Santa Tecla Santa Tecla 1-1 HT 1-0 Jocoro Jocoro ELSAL
23.08.2023 Santa Tecla Santa Tecla 0-0 HT 0-0 Jocoro Jocoro ELSAL
17.04.2023 Santa Tecla Santa Tecla 1-0 HT 0-0 Jocoro Jocoro ELSAL
20.02.2023 Jocoro Jocoro 2-3 HT 2-1 Santa Tecla Santa Tecla ELSAL
03.04.2022 Jocoro Jocoro 1-0 HT 0-0 Santa Tecla Santa Tecla ELSAL
POST-MATCH Jocoro vs Santa Tecla
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Santa Tecla saw off Jocoro 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Jocoro at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Jocoro and 1.00 for Santa Tecla.

What was the final score of Jocoro vs Santa Tecla?

Jocoro 0-2 Santa Tecla in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jocoro vs Santa Tecla?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jocoro win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Jocoro 43%, draw 30%, Santa Tecla 27%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Jocoro) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Jocoro) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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