Isidro Metapan 2-1 Dragon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 17 Mar 2024

Isidro Metapan
2-1 HT 1-0
Dragon
📅17/03/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
El Salvador - Primera Liga – 2023/2024

Isidro Metapan vs Dragon Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.05
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
34%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.62
Over 2.5
39%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.95
No
58%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
45%
-7.2pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.8pp
34%
Away Win
27%
+6.4pp
61%
Under 2.5
58%
+3.2pp
39%
Over 2.5
42%
-3.2pp
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.9pp
58%
BTTS No
53%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Isidro Metapan v Dragon — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Isidro Metapan EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Dragon EU Bookmakers 31%
+7% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +9%
1.37/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.18
+1% / +49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +11%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
324 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 69%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.2

Isidro Metapan vs Dragon Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Isidro Metapan
1W-3D-0L
AWAY Dragon
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
19.10.2023 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan 2-2 HT 0-1 Dragon Dragon ELSAL
24.08.2023 Dragon Dragon 0-0 HT 0-0 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan ELSAL
24.04.2023 Dragon Dragon 1-2 HT 0-2 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan ELSAL
26.02.2023 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan 0-0 HT 0-0 Dragon Dragon ELSAL
POST-MATCH Isidro Metapan vs Dragon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Isidro Metapan edged past Dragon 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 29% / 34%) promised a tight game; Isidro Metapan found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Isidro Metapan had the better of it with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Isidro Metapan and 0.75 for Dragon.

What was the final score of Isidro Metapan vs Dragon?

Isidro Metapan 2-1 Dragon in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Isidro Metapan vs Dragon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Isidro Metapan win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Isidro Metapan 38%, draw 29%, Dragon 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Isidro Metapan) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Isidro Metapan) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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