KuPS Kuopio 2-1 VPS — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 10 May 2024

📅10/05/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.02
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
32%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.64
Over 2.5
42%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.96
No
59%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.57
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.58
6+ Goals
7%
24.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.95
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
14.85
X/1
13%
4.26
X/2
15%
6.61
X/X
19%
4.18
2/1
7%
28.5
2/2
12%
5.4
2/X
5%
15.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
46%
-6.4pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.9pp
32%
Away Win
27%
+4.5pp
58%
Under 2.5
57%
+0.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
43%
-0.8pp
41%
BTTS Yes
47%
-5.7pp
59%
BTTS No
53%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KuPS Kuopio EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY VPS EU Bookmakers 31%
-3% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +34%
1.32/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.05
-9% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +43% / +30%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
361 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 76%
23.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.8
19.9 Crosses 16.4
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KuPS Kuopio
3W-1D-2L
AWAY VPS
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.90 xG 1.43
55% Ball Possession 45%
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
425 Passes 359
84% Pass Accuracy 79%
16 Box Touches 26
12 Crosses 21
0 Yellow Cards 2
08.02.2024 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 5-0 HT 3-0 VPS VPS FLK
17.09.2023 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 0-2 HT 0-1 VPS VPS FİN
08.07.2023 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 0-1 HT 0-0 VPS VPS FİN
11.06.2023 VPS VPS 0-2 HT 0-1 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FİN
25.02.2023 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 1-1 HT 0-0 VPS VPS FLK
11.09.2022 VPS VPS 0-1 HT 0-0 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KuPS Kuopio
2-1
AWAY VPS
49% Ball Possession 51%
4 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 6
345 Passes 355
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
POST-MATCH KuPS Kuopio vs VPS
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KuPS Kuopio nicked a narrow win over VPS 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 29% / 32% — and on the day KuPS Kuopio made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, KuPS Kuopio had 49% of the ball to VPS's 51%, shots finished 4-16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, KuPS Kuopio had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for KuPS Kuopio and 0.67 for VPS.

What was the final score of KuPS Kuopio vs VPS?

KuPS Kuopio 2-1 VPS in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 10/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KuPS Kuopio vs VPS?

Before kick-off our model rated a KuPS Kuopio win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split KuPS Kuopio 39%, draw 29%, VPS 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (KuPS Kuopio) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (KuPS Kuopio) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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