Brest 1-1 Reims — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 10 May 2024

Brest
1-1 HT 1-1
Reims
📅10/05/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-0 ✗
France - Ligue 1 – 2023/2024

Brest vs Reims Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.61
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
24%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.1
Over 2.5
52%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.12
2-3 Goals
42%
1.85
4-5 Goals
25%
3.05
6+ Goals
11%
9.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.01
1/2
9%
34.5
1/X
11%
14.9
X/1
20%
3.97
X/2
6%
10.7
X/X
8%
5.69
2/1
6%
21.85
2/2
9%
7.97
2/X
6%
15.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
58%
-7.1pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.9pp
24%
Away Win
19%
+5.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.2pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Brest v Reims — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brest EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Reims EU Bookmakers 22%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.83/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.43
+11% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +27%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
423 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 77%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.2
20.7 Crosses 14.1
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0

Brest vs Reims Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brest
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Reims
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.32 xG 1.51
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
323 Passes 292
77% Pass Accuracy 76%
28 Box Touches 24
26 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
17.09.2023 Reims Reims 1-2 HT 1-0 Brest Brest FR1
09.04.2023 Reims Reims 1-1 HT 0-1 Brest Brest FR1
30.10.2022 Brest Brest 0-0 HT 0-0 Reims Reims FR1
20.02.2022 Reims Reims 1-1 HT 1-1 Brest Brest FR1
17.10.2021 Brest Brest 1-1 HT 0-1 Reims Reims FR1
24.01.2021 Reims Reims 1-0 HT 1-0 Brest Brest FR1

Brest 1-1 Reims — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brest
1-1
AWAY Reims
1.28 xG 0.63
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
402 Passes 236
83% Pass Accuracy 72%
33 Box Touches 13
37 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Brest vs Reims
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brest and Reims couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Brest at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Brest had 60% of the ball to Reims's 40%, shots finished 16-8, expected goals 1.28 to 0.63.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Brest and 0.83 for Reims.

What was the final score of Brest vs Reims?

Brest 1-1 Reims in the France - Ligue 1 on 10/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brest vs Reims?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brest win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Brest 51%, draw 25%, Reims 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Brest), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Brest) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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