Nice 1-0 Le Havre — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 10 May 2024

Nice
1-0 HT 1-0
Le Havre
📅10/05/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
France - Ligue 1 – 2023/2024

Nice vs Le Havre Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.57
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
26%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.86
Over 2.5
47%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.96
No
54%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.24
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.63
6+ Goals
9%
14.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.24 — our 29% vs market 25.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1.96
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
9%
16.45
X/1
18%
3.66
X/2
12%
11.65
X/X
6%
5.16
2/1
7%
24.45
2/2
9%
9.69
2/X
9%
17.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
60%
-9.6pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.4pp
26%
Away Win
17%
+9.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
50%
+2.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
50%
-2.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.7pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Nice v Le Havre — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nice EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Le Havre EU Bookmakers 20%
-11% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +10%
1.62/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/1.93
-33% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / +30%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
448 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 78%
25.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.6
22.3 Crosses 12.2
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.1

Nice vs Le Havre Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nice
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Le Havre
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.88 xG 2.05
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
523 Passes 290
88% Pass Accuracy 79%
25 Box Touches 15
22 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
16.12.2023 Le Havre Le Havre 3-1 HT 2-0 Nice Nice FR1
30.05.2009 Nice Nice 0-0 HT 0-0 Le Havre Le Havre FR1
13.01.2009 Nice Nice 1-0 HT 0-0 Le Havre Le Havre FRLK
09.08.2008 Le Havre Le Havre 1-0 HT 0-0 Nice Nice FR1
05.01.2008 Nice Nice 1-1 HT 1-0 Le Havre Le Havre FRK
24.05.2003 Le Havre Le Havre 2-1 HT 1-0 Nice Nice FR1

Nice 1-0 Le Havre — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nice
1-0
AWAY Le Havre
1.81 xG 0.51
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 1
465 Passes 317
89% Pass Accuracy 82%
22 Box Touches 17
15 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Nice vs Le Havre
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nice edged past Le Havre 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Nice as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Nice had 58% of the ball to Le Havre's 42%, shots finished 13-12, expected goals 1.81 to 0.51 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Nice's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Le Havre led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Nice and 1.17 for Le Havre.

What was the final score of Nice vs Le Havre?

Nice 1-0 Le Havre in the France - Ligue 1 on 10/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nice vs Le Havre?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nice win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Nice 50%, draw 24%, Le Havre 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nice), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Nice) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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