Burnley U21 2-3 Coventry City U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Professional Development League, 10 May 2024

📅10/05/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.82
Draw
21%
4.19
Away
30%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
3.68
Over 2.5
63%
1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.31
No
39%
3.14
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
34%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
4%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
51%
-1.7pp
21%
Draw
20%
+1.0pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+0.8pp
37%
Under 2.5
24%
+13.1pp
63%
Over 2.5
76%
-13.2pp
61%
BTTS Yes
72%
-11.4pp
39%
BTTS No
28%
+11.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Burnley U21 EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Coventry City U21 EU Bookmakers 32%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -37% / -37%
1.71/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.50
-12% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +20%
52% Ball Possession 48%
17 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
347 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Burnley U21
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Coventry City U21
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
15.03.2024 Coventry City U21 0-4 HT 0-3 Burnley U21 Burnley U21 INGPDL
POST-MATCH Burnley U21 vs Coventry City U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Coventry City U21 squeezed past Burnley U21 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Burnley U21 at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (61%) came in.

What was the final score of Burnley U21 vs Coventry City U21?

Burnley U21 2-3 Coventry City U21 in the England - Professional Development League on 10/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Burnley U21 vs Coventry City U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Burnley U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Burnley U21 49%, draw 21%, Coventry City U21 30%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Burnley U21) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Burnley U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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INGPDL More England - Professional Development League
10 May 2024
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