Swansea City U21 1-0 Birmingham City U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Professional Development League, 10 May 2024

📅10/05/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.61
Draw
21%
4.62
Away
31%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
31%
3.68
Over 2.5
69%
1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.35
No
36%
2.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
58%
-9.8pp
21%
Draw
18%
+2.2pp
31%
Away Win
24%
+7.5pp
31%
Under 2.5
24%
+7.5pp
69%
Over 2.5
76%
-7.5pp
64%
BTTS Yes
70%
-5.8pp
36%
BTTS No
30%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Swansea City U21 EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Birmingham City U21 EU Bookmakers 27%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +35% / +35%
2.42/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/0.94
+12% / +64% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / +105%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
433 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Swansea City U21 vs Birmingham City U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Swansea City U21 nicked a narrow win over Birmingham City U21 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Swansea City U21 as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (69%), both teams to score (64%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Swansea City U21 vs Birmingham City U21?

Swansea City U21 1-0 Birmingham City U21 in the England - Professional Development League on 10/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Swansea City U21 vs Birmingham City U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Swansea City U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Swansea City U21 48%, draw 21%, Birmingham City U21 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Swansea City U21) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Swansea City U21) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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