Pumas UNAM 0-2 Cruz Azul — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 10 May 2024

Pumas UNAM
0-2 HT 0-1
Cruz Azul
📅10/05/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Mexico - Primera – 2023/2024

Pumas UNAM vs Cruz Azul Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.53
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
35%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.78
Over 2.5
45%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.75
No
51%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.08
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
3.8
6+ Goals
12%
16.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.08 — our 31% vs market 26.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.91
1/2
8%
29.5
1/X
7%
12.9
X/1
9%
5.66
X/2
10%
5.43
X/X
17%
4.3
2/1
11%
31.0
2/2
17%
3.69
2/X
6%
12.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
36%
-1.1pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.7pp
36%
Away Win
36%
-0.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.1pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Pumas UNAM v Cruz Azul — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pumas UNAM EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Cruz Azul EU Bookmakers 40%
-3% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +14%
1.54/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.33
+10% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +8%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
312 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 78%
20.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.8
18.8 Crosses 17.9
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.5

Pumas UNAM vs Cruz Azul Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pumas UNAM
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Cruz Azul
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.31 xG 1.21
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
285 Passes 366
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
17 Box Touches 19
16 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
31.03.2024 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM 0-0 HT 0-0 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul MEK
08.10.2023 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul 1-4 HT 1-1 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM MEK
12.03.2023 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul 1-0 HT 0-0 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM MEK
19.09.2022 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM 1-2 HT 0-2 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul MEK
13.04.2022 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul 0-0 HT 0-0 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM Kuzey / Orta Amerika - CONCACAF Şampiyonlar Ligi
06.04.2022 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM 2-1 HT 2-0 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul Kuzey / Orta Amerika - CONCACAF Şampiyonlar Ligi

Pumas UNAM 0-2 Cruz Azul — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pumas UNAM
0-2
AWAY Cruz Azul
0.74 xG 2.14
45% Ball Possession 55%
15 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 8
7 Corners 2
334 Passes 431
84% Pass Accuracy 87%
20 Box Touches 21
21 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Pumas UNAM vs Cruz Azul
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cruz Azul beat Pumas UNAM 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (35% / 30% / 36%) promised a tight game; Cruz Azul found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Pumas UNAM had 45% of the ball to Cruz Azul's 55%, shots finished 15-16, expected goals 0.74 to 2.14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Pumas UNAM and 0.83 for Cruz Azul.

What was the final score of Pumas UNAM vs Cruz Azul?

Pumas UNAM 0-2 Cruz Azul in the Mexico - Primera on 10/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pumas UNAM vs Cruz Azul?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cruz Azul win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Pumas UNAM 35%, draw 30%, Cruz Azul 36%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cruz Azul), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cruz Azul) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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