Sepsi 3-2 Rapid Bucarest — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 10 May 2024

Sepsi
3-2 HT 3-1
Rapid Bucarest
📅10/05/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Romania - 1st Division – 2023/2024

Sepsi vs Rapid Bucarest Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.02
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
30%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.29
Over 2.5
48%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.49
No
50%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
24%
4.1
2-3 Goals
43%
1.85
4-5 Goals
23%
3.06
6+ Goals
10%
9.73
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.1 — our 24% vs market 19.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
45%
+0.9pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.0pp
30%
Away Win
30%
+0.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
40%
+12.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
60%
-12.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
63%
-13.1pp
50%
BTTS No
37%
+13.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sepsi v Rapid Bucarest — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sepsi EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Rapid Bucarest EU Bookmakers 34%
-18% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -6%
2.01/0.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/0.52
-31% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +7%
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
358 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3

Sepsi vs Rapid Bucarest Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sepsi
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Rapid Bucarest
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
15.04.2024 Rapid Bucarest Rapid Bucarest 0-1 HT 0-0 Sepsi Sepsi ROM
10.11.2023 Sepsi Sepsi 0-0 HT 0-0 Rapid Bucarest Rapid Bucarest ROM
14.07.2023 Rapid Bucarest Rapid Bucarest 0-0 HT 0-0 Sepsi Sepsi ROM
12.05.2023 Rapid Bucarest Rapid Bucarest 0-0 HT 0-0 Sepsi Sepsi ROM
10.04.2023 Sepsi Sepsi 2-0 HT 1-0 Rapid Bucarest Rapid Bucarest ROM
20.01.2023 Rapid Bucarest Rapid Bucarest 3-0 HT 3-0 Sepsi Sepsi ROM

Sepsi 3-2 Rapid Bucarest — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sepsi
3-2
AWAY Rapid Bucarest
57% Ball Possession 43%
20 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Sepsi vs Rapid Bucarest
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sepsi nicked a narrow win over Rapid Bucarest 3-2. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sepsi as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Sepsi had 57% of the ball to Rapid Bucarest's 43%, shots finished 20-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sepsi had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Sepsi and 0.50 for Rapid Bucarest.

What was the final score of Sepsi vs Rapid Bucarest?

Sepsi 3-2 Rapid Bucarest in the Romania - 1st Division on 10/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sepsi vs Rapid Bucarest?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sepsi win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Sepsi 46%, draw 24%, Rapid Bucarest 30%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sepsi) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sepsi) ✗ Under 2.5
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