Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor 0-2 52 Orduspor FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 3rd Division Yükselme Playoff, 10 May 2024

📅10/05/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.18
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
32%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.75
Over 2.5
44%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
2.96
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
3.94
6+ Goals
8%
17.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.96 — our 30% vs market 28.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
13%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-5.1pp
31%
Draw
27%
+3.5pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+1.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
53%
+2.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
47%
-2.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.2pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY 52 Orduspor FK EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +9%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
356 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor
0W-1D-1L
AWAY 52 Orduspor FK
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 1
06.05.2024 52 Orduspor FK 52 Orduspor FK 1-1 HT 0-0 Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor S3P
11.02.2024 Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor 1-4 HT 0-1 52 Orduspor FK 52 Orduspor FK S3-1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor
0-2
AWAY 52 Orduspor FK
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 1
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor vs 52 Orduspor FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

52 Orduspor FK saw off Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (37% / 31% / 32%) promised a tight game; 52 Orduspor FK found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor had 47% of the ball to 52 Orduspor FK's 53%, shots finished 13-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, 52 Orduspor FK led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor and 2.50 for 52 Orduspor FK.

What was the final score of Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor vs 52 Orduspor FK?

Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor 0-2 52 Orduspor FK in the Turkey - 3rd Division Yükselme Playoff on 10/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor vs 52 Orduspor FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor 37%, draw 31%, 52 Orduspor FK 32%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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