Airdrieonians 2-1 Stenhousemuir — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 10 May 2025

Airdrieonians
2-1 HT 1-0
Stenhousemuir
📅10/05/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✓
Scotland - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Airdrieonians vs Stenhousemuir Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.53
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
24%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.03
Over 2.5
62%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.82
No
47%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
3.65
2-3 Goals
36%
1.8
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
32%
3.09
6+ Goals
11%
10.35
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.09 — our 32% vs market 25.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1.94
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
6%
15.95
X/1
19%
4.05
X/2
9%
11.55
X/X
10%
5.96
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
22.0
2/2
10%
9.37
2/X
7%
18.0
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.0 — our 7% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
61%
-8.4pp
24%
Draw
22%
+1.7pp
24%
Away Win
17%
+6.6pp
38%
Under 2.5
45%
-7.1pp
62%
Over 2.5
55%
+7.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.2pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Airdrieonians v Stenhousemuir — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Airdrieonians EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Stenhousemuir EU Bookmakers 21%
-5% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -1%
2.11/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/1.68
+13% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / +7%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
340 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses 6.5
– Yellow Cards 0.5

Airdrieonians vs Stenhousemuir Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Airdrieonians
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Stenhousemuir
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
The Meetings
06.05.2025 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 1-3 HT 0-2 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians İK1
07.04.2012 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 0-3 HT 0-2 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians İK1
30.10.2010 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians 1-0 HT 0-0 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İK1
28.08.2010 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 1-3 HT 0-1 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians İK1
17.04.2004 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 0-3 HT 0-1 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians İK1
21.02.2004 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians 4-0 HT 4-0 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İK1
POST-MATCH Airdrieonians vs Stenhousemuir
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Airdrieonians nicked a narrow win over Stenhousemuir 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Airdrieonians as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Airdrieonians had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Airdrieonians and 0.33 for Stenhousemuir.

What was the final score of Airdrieonians vs Stenhousemuir?

Airdrieonians 2-1 Stenhousemuir in the Scotland - 1st Division on 10/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Airdrieonians vs Stenhousemuir?

Before kick-off our model rated a Airdrieonians win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Airdrieonians 52%, draw 24%, Stenhousemuir 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Airdrieonians), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Airdrieonians) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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