Annan Athletic 1-2 Elgin City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 2nd Division, 10 May 2025

📅10/05/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
2.0
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
23%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.97
Over 2.5
48%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.68
No
52%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.46
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.21
6+ Goals
9%
11.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.46 — our 29% vs market 22.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
46%
+3.9pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.8pp
23%
Away Win
28%
-5.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
47%
+5.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
53%
-5.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.0pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Annan Athletic EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Elgin City EU Bookmakers 32%
+2% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +8%
2.07/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.41
+50% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -5%
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
400 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 239 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Annan Athletic
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Elgin City
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 4
06.05.2025 Elgin City Elgin City 2-4 HT 2-4 Annan Athletic Annan Athletic İK2
11.03.2023 Annan Athletic Annan Athletic 4-1 HT 2-1 Elgin City Elgin City İK2
14.01.2023 Elgin City Elgin City 1-1 HT 1-0 Annan Athletic Annan Athletic İK2
19.11.2022 Annan Athletic Annan Athletic 1-3 HT 0-2 Elgin City Elgin City İK2
01.10.2022 Elgin City Elgin City 5-1 HT 2-0 Annan Athletic Annan Athletic İK2
16.07.2022 Annan Athletic Annan Athletic 4-0 HT 3-0 Elgin City Elgin City İKLK
POST-MATCH Annan Athletic vs Elgin City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Elgin City squeezed past Annan Athletic 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Annan Athletic at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Annan Athletic had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Annan Athletic and 2.00 for Elgin City.

What was the final score of Annan Athletic vs Elgin City?

Annan Athletic 1-2 Elgin City in the Scotland - 2nd Division on 10/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Annan Athletic vs Elgin City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Annan Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Annan Athletic 50%, draw 27%, Elgin City 23%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Annan Athletic) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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