GAIS 1-1 IFK Varnamo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 10 May 2025

📅10/05/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
1.86
Draw
32%
3.35
Away
32%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.74
Over 2.5
49%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.95
2-3 Goals
40%
1.82
4-5 Goals
24%
4.14
6+ Goals
8%
19.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.55
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X EV+ ✓
11%
14.4
X/1
10%
4.33
X/2
11%
8.18
X/X
13%
4.58
2/1
7%
26.0
2/2
17%
6.71
2/X
7%
15.6
Value flag · 1/X at 14.4 — our 11% vs market 4.3%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
50%
-13.9pp
32%
Draw
26%
+5.1pp
33%
Away Win
24%
+8.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
54%
-2.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
46%
+2.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.4pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME GAIS EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY IFK Varnamo EU Bookmakers 27%
-1% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +17%
1.31/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.53
-21% / +64% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / +48%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
342 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 377 · 81%
23.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.4
22.7 Crosses 17.4
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME GAIS
2W-1D-3L
AWAY IFK Varnamo
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.62 xG 0.22
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
466 Passes 375
83% Pass Accuracy 79%
21 Box Touches 17
19 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 1
20.10.2024 GAIS GAIS 0-0 HT 0-0 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo İSÇ
08.04.2024 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo 1-2 HT 1-2 GAIS GAIS İSÇ
30.08.2022 GAIS GAIS 3-1 HT 0-0 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo İSÇK
26.02.2022 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo 1-0 HT 0-0 GAIS GAIS İSÇK
16.10.2021 GAIS GAIS 1-2 HT 0-2 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo İSÇ2
10.05.2021 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo 1-0 HT 1-0 GAIS GAIS İSÇ2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME GAIS
1-1
AWAY IFK Varnamo
1.26 xG 0.50
61% Ball Possession 39%
21 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
488 Passes 266
81% Pass Accuracy 71%
37 Box Touches 14
18 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH GAIS vs IFK Varnamo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

GAIS and IFK Varnamo shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 32% / 33% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, GAIS had 61% of the ball to IFK Varnamo's 39%, shots finished 21-13, expected goals 1.26 to 0.50.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, IFK Varnamo led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for GAIS and 1.00 for IFK Varnamo.

What was the final score of GAIS vs IFK Varnamo?

GAIS 1-1 IFK Varnamo in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 10/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for GAIS vs IFK Varnamo?

Before kick-off our model rated a GAIS win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split GAIS 36%, draw 32%, IFK Varnamo 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (GAIS) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (GAIS) ✓ Under 2.5
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