GAIS 0-0 IFK Varnamo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.18
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
35%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.86
Over 2.5
49%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.73
No
52%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.28
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.6
6+ Goals
9%
14.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.28 — our 28% vs market 24.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.11
1/2
9%
33.0
1/X
8%
13.05
X/1
14%
4.88
X/2
8%
6.41
X/X
12%
4.55
2/1
6%
26.5
2/2
17%
4.57
2/X
6%
13.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-1.8pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.0pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+3.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
50%
+0.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
50%
-0.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
54%
-6.2pp
52%
BTTS No
46%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME GAIS EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY IFK Varnamo EU Bookmakers 34%
+2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +22%
1.33/1.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.79/1.80
-48% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +46% / +13%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
323 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 75%
28.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.9
20.4 Crosses 17.0
3.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME GAIS
2W-0D-4L
AWAY IFK Varnamo
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
08.04.2024 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo 1-2 HT 1-2 GAIS GAIS İSÇ
30.08.2022 GAIS GAIS 3-1 HT 0-0 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo İSÇK
26.02.2022 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo 1-0 HT 0-0 GAIS GAIS İSÇK
16.10.2021 GAIS GAIS 1-2 HT 0-2 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo İSÇ2
10.05.2021 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo 1-0 HT 1-0 GAIS GAIS İSÇ2
12.09.2018 GAIS GAIS 1-2 HT 0-1 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo İSÇ2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME GAIS
0-0
AWAY IFK Varnamo
0.62 xG 0.22
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 4
466 Passes 375
83% Pass Accuracy 79%
21 Box Touches 17
19 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH GAIS vs IFK Varnamo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

GAIS and IFK Varnamo played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (40% / 25% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, GAIS had 54% of the ball to IFK Varnamo's 46%, shots finished 11-6, expected goals 0.62 to 0.22.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, IFK Varnamo led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for GAIS and 1.33 for IFK Varnamo.

What was the final score of GAIS vs IFK Varnamo?

GAIS 0-0 IFK Varnamo in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for GAIS vs IFK Varnamo?

Before kick-off our model rated a GAIS win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split GAIS 40%, draw 25%, IFK Varnamo 34%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (GAIS) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (GAIS) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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