Hammarby 2-0 Djurgarden — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 20 Oct 2024

Hammarby
2-0
Djurgarden
📅20/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Sweden - Allsvenskan – 2024

Hammarby vs Djurgarden Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.25
Draw
23%
3.04
Away
35%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.68
Over 2.5
53%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.85
No
46%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2.75
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
24%
4.24
6+ Goals
10%
21.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.35
1/2 EV+
11%
34.5
1/X
9%
12.95
X/1
14%
4.96
X/2
11%
6.23
X/X
9%
3.98
2/1
7%
30.0
2/2
13%
4.64
2/X
5%
13.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
40%
+1.3pp
23%
Draw
29%
-5.8pp
35%
Away Win
30%
+4.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
56%
-9.1pp
54%
Over 2.5
44%
+9.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
50%
+3.8pp
46%
BTTS No
50%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hammarby v Djurgarden — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hammarby EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Djurgarden EU Bookmakers 34%
+5% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +8%
1.59/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.17
+43% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +2%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
336 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 76%
22.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.3
18.1 Crosses 18.6
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.7

Hammarby vs Djurgarden Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hammarby
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Djurgarden
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.25 xG 1.47
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
409 Passes 314
83% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 24
16 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
02.06.2024 Djurgarden Djurgarden 0-3 HT 0-2 Hammarby Hammarby İSÇ
22.10.2023 Djurgarden Djurgarden 0-0 HT 0-0 Hammarby Hammarby İSÇ
14.05.2023 Hammarby Hammarby 4-3 HT 2-0 Djurgarden Djurgarden İSÇ
11.09.2022 Hammarby Hammarby 0-0 HT 0-0 Djurgarden Djurgarden İSÇ
03.07.2022 Djurgarden Djurgarden 1-0 HT 0-0 Hammarby Hammarby İSÇ
12.09.2021 Djurgarden Djurgarden 4-1 HT 3-1 Hammarby Hammarby İSÇ
POST-MATCH Hammarby vs Djurgarden
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hammarby saw off Djurgarden 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Hammarby as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Hammarby and 1.33 for Djurgarden.

What was the final score of Hammarby vs Djurgarden?

Hammarby 2-0 Djurgarden in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hammarby vs Djurgarden?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hammarby win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Hammarby 42%, draw 23%, Djurgarden 35%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hammarby) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hammarby) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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