Kalmar 0-3 Mjallby — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 20 Oct 2024

Kalmar
0-3 HT 0-2
Mjallby
📅20/10/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Sweden - Allsvenskan – 2024

Kalmar vs Mjallby Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.8
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
40%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.82
Over 2.5
49%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.73
No
52%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.23
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.64
6+ Goals
11%
14.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.23 — our 30% vs market 25.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.32
1/2
6%
27.5
1/X
7%
13.1
X/1
13%
6.15
X/2
19%
5.07
X/X
13%
4.47
2/1
6%
32.0
2/2
15%
3.29
2/X
6%
12.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
33%
+1.6pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.3pp
40%
Away Win
40%
-0.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
51%
+0.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
49%
-0.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
54%
-6.0pp
52%
BTTS No
46%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kalmar v Mjallby — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kalmar EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Mjallby EU Bookmakers 43%
-9% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +8%
1.17/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.24
-32% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +12%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
360 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 77%
21.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.4
16.8 Crosses 16.2
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.9

Kalmar vs Mjallby Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kalmar
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Mjallby
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.77 xG 1.47
63% Ball Possession 37%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
545 Passes 248
86% Pass Accuracy 75%
27 Box Touches 20
17 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
29.04.2024 Mjallby Mjallby 3-2 HT 2-2 Kalmar Kalmar İSÇ
03.09.2023 Kalmar Kalmar 0-2 HT 0-2 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇ
03.07.2023 Mjallby Mjallby 1-1 HT 1-1 Kalmar Kalmar İSÇ
12.03.2023 Kalmar Kalmar 0-0 HT 0-0 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇK
20.10.2022 Kalmar Kalmar 1-2 HT 0-1 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇ
28.05.2022 Mjallby Mjallby 1-1 HT 1-0 Kalmar Kalmar İSÇ

Kalmar 0-3 Mjallby — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kalmar
0-3
AWAY Mjallby
0.48 xG 1.10
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 2
373 Passes 503
80% Pass Accuracy 87%
19 Box Touches 18
14 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kalmar vs Mjallby
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mjallby swept aside Kalmar 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 26% / 40% — and on the day Mjallby made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Kalmar had 45% of the ball to Mjallby's 55%, shots finished 7-14, expected goals 0.48 to 1.10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mjallby led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Kalmar and 1.50 for Mjallby.

What was the final score of Kalmar vs Mjallby?

Kalmar 0-3 Mjallby in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kalmar vs Mjallby?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mjallby win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Kalmar 34%, draw 26%, Mjallby 40%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mjallby), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mjallby) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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