Mjallby vs Kalmar Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Mjallby v Kalmar — Team-Based Signals
Mjallby vs Kalmar Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-2
Mjallby
İSÇ
1-1
HT 1-1
Kalmar
İSÇ
0-0
HT 0-0
Mjallby
İSÇK
1-2
HT 0-1
Mjallby
İSÇ
1-1
HT 1-0
Kalmar
İSÇ
4-0
HT 3-0
Kalmar
İSÇ
Mjallby 3-2 Kalmar — Actual Match Statistics
Mjallby nicked a narrow win over Kalmar 3-2. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 26% / 34% — and on the day Mjallby made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Mjallby had 53% of the ball to Kalmar's 47%, shots finished 16-8, expected goals 2.91 to 0.43 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Mjallby's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mjallby had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Mjallby and 0.50 for Kalmar.
What was the final score of Mjallby vs Kalmar?
Mjallby 3-2 Kalmar in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 29/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Mjallby vs Kalmar?
Before kick-off our model rated a Mjallby win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Mjallby 40%, draw 26%, Kalmar 34%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mjallby) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.