Hammarby 2-1 Vasteras SK FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 29 Apr 2024

📅29/04/2024 · 🕒20:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.9
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
27%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.07
Over 2.5
47%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.63
No
53%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
4.0
2-3 Goals
40%
1.84
4-5 Goals
20%
3.11
6+ Goals
10%
10.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.0 — our 30% vs market 19.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.58
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.2
X/1
18%
4.54
X/2
9%
7.61
X/X
11%
5.21
2/1
10%
22.7
2/2
10%
5.29
2/X
6%
13.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
49%
-0.1pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.1pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+0.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
57%
-10.1pp
53%
BTTS No
43%
+10.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hammarby EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Vasteras SK FK EU Bookmakers 30%
-1% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+32% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
372 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 78%
25.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.5 Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hammarby
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Vasteras SK FK
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
19 Total Shots 19
9 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
17.02.2024 Hammarby Hammarby 1-2 HT 1-2 Vasteras SK FK Vasteras SK FK İSÇK
26.09.2011 Vasteras SK FK Vasteras SK FK 1-2 HT 0-0 Hammarby Hammarby İSÇ2
15.05.2011 Hammarby Hammarby 3-1 HT 0-0 Vasteras SK FK Vasteras SK FK İSÇ2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hammarby
2-1
AWAY Vasteras SK FK
1.08 xG 0.94
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 2
446 Passes 283
82% Pass Accuracy 75%
18 Box Touches 11
17 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hammarby vs Vasteras SK FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hammarby squeezed past Vasteras SK FK 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Hammarby as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Hammarby had 59% of the ball to Vasteras SK FK's 41%, shots finished 12-14, expected goals 1.08 to 0.94.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Hammarby had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Hammarby and 1.33 for Vasteras SK FK.

What was the final score of Hammarby vs Vasteras SK FK?

Hammarby 2-1 Vasteras SK FK in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 29/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hammarby vs Vasteras SK FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hammarby win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Hammarby 48%, draw 25%, Vasteras SK FK 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hammarby) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hammarby) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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