Hammarby 1-2 Vasteras SK FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Cup, 17 Feb 2024

📅17/02/2024 · 🕒17:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.64
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
27%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.43
Over 2.5
59%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.55
No
41%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
5.18
2-3 Goals
39%
1.96
4-5 Goals
26%
2.68
6+ Goals
15%
6.74
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
57%
-8.5pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.6pp
27%
Away Win
20%
+6.7pp
41%
Under 2.5
38%
+3.8pp
59%
Over 2.5
62%
-3.8pp
59%
BTTS Yes
60%
-1.2pp
41%
BTTS No
40%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hammarby EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Vasteras SK FK EU Bookmakers 23%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +52% / +52%
1.96/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.16/0.64
-2% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +97% / +150%
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
339 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
5.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hammarby
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Vasteras SK FK
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
26.09.2011 Vasteras SK FK Vasteras SK FK 1-2 HT 0-0 Hammarby Hammarby İSÇ2
15.05.2011 Hammarby Hammarby 3-1 HT 0-0 Vasteras SK FK Vasteras SK FK İSÇ2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hammarby
1-2
AWAY Vasteras SK FK
50% Ball Possession 50%
19 Total Shots 19
9 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hammarby vs Vasteras SK FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vasteras SK FK squeezed past Hammarby 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Hammarby at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Hammarby had 50% of the ball to Vasteras SK FK's 50%, shots finished 19-19.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Hammarby had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Hammarby and 1.00 for Vasteras SK FK.

What was the final score of Hammarby vs Vasteras SK FK?

Hammarby 1-2 Vasteras SK FK in the Sweden - Cup on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hammarby vs Vasteras SK FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hammarby win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Hammarby 48%, draw 25%, Vasteras SK FK 27%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hammarby) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hammarby) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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