Mjallby 3-2 GIF Sundsvall — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Cup, 17 Feb 2024

📅17/02/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.37
Draw
25%
4.49
Away
19%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.0
Over 2.5
58%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.06
No
49%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
3.68
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
28%
3.23
6+ Goals
11%
11.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
69%
-12.7pp
25%
Draw
19%
+5.3pp
19%
Away Win
12%
+7.4pp
42%
Under 2.5
46%
-4.1pp
58%
Over 2.5
54%
+4.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
44%
+7.0pp
49%
BTTS No
56%
-7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mjallby EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY GIF Sundsvall EU Bookmakers 15%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
2.50/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/4.07
+2% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -43%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
385 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mjallby
2W-2D-2L
AWAY GIF Sundsvall
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.25 xG 1.08
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
441 Passes 244
83% Pass Accuracy 70%
34 Box Touches 14
26 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
18.09.2022 Mjallby Mjallby 1-1 HT 0-0 GIF Sundsvall GIF Sundsvall İSÇ
23.05.2022 GIF Sundsvall GIF Sundsvall 2-0 HT 0-0 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇ
21.07.2012 GIF Sundsvall GIF Sundsvall 3-1 HT 2-1 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇ
14.07.2012 Mjallby Mjallby 1-0 HT 0-0 GIF Sundsvall GIF Sundsvall İSÇ
20.08.2009 GIF Sundsvall GIF Sundsvall 1-1 HT 1-0 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇ2
29.04.2009 Mjallby Mjallby 4-2 HT 2-2 GIF Sundsvall GIF Sundsvall İSÇ2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mjallby
3-2
AWAY GIF Sundsvall
61% Ball Possession 39%
19 Total Shots 6
15 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Mjallby vs GIF Sundsvall
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mjallby squeezed past GIF Sundsvall 3-2. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Mjallby as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Mjallby had 61% of the ball to GIF Sundsvall's 39%, shots finished 19-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Mjallby and 1.50 for GIF Sundsvall.

What was the final score of Mjallby vs GIF Sundsvall?

Mjallby 3-2 GIF Sundsvall in the Sweden - Cup on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mjallby vs GIF Sundsvall?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mjallby win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Mjallby 56%, draw 25%, GIF Sundsvall 19%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mjallby), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Mjallby) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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