Empoli 2-1 Parma — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 10 May 2025

Empoli
2 - 1 HT 1 - 0
Parma
📅10/05/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Italy - Serie A – 2024/2025

Empoli vs Parma Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.25
Draw
34%
2.94
Away
27%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
61%
1.59
Over
39%
2.16
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.97
No
52%
1.74
Total Goals
0-1
35%
2.42
2-3
46%
1.77
4-5
16%
4.73
6+
3%
27.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.36
1/2
2%
35.0
1/X
6%
13.35
X/1
15%
5.01
X/2
11%
6.64
X/X
23%
3.78
2/1
2%
32.0
2/2
15%
5.2
2/X
5%
13.95
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

Empoli v Parma — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Empoli The Market 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Parma The Market 32%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.15 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.10
0.96 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.29
Weak Attack Strength Strong
Average Defense Strength Average
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
343 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 78%
25 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20
20 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2

Empoli vs Parma Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Empoli
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Parma
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.41 xG 1.24
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
445 Passes 296
84% Pass Accuracy 77%
31 Box Touches 18
25 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
27.10.2024 Parma Parma 1-1 HT 0-1 Empoli Empoli İTA
02.03.2019 Empoli Empoli 3-3 HT 1-2 Parma Parma İTA
30.09.2018 Parma Parma 1-0 HT 1-0 Empoli Empoli İTA
17.02.2018 Empoli Empoli 4-0 HT 2-0 Parma Parma İTB
19.09.2017 Parma Parma 1-2 HT 0-1 Empoli Empoli İTB
19.04.2015 Empoli Empoli 2-2 HT 2-1 Parma Parma İTA

Empoli 2-1 Parma — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Empoli
2 - 1
AWAY Parma
0.61 xG 0.27
46% Ball Possession 54%
15 Total Shots 3
4 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 0
213 Passes 267
68% Pass Accuracy 70%
14 Box Touches 11
13 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Empoli vs Parma
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Empoli edged past Parma 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

The model refused to pick a side here (39% / 34% / 27%); Empoli picked one for it. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.

By the numbers, Parma saw more of the ball, 54% to 46%, shots finished 15-3, expected goals 0.61 to 0.27.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Empoli had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.00 a game for Empoli against 1.33 for Parma.

Empoli vs Parma Result & Final Score

Empoli 2 - 1 Parma in the Italy - Serie A on 10/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Empoli vs Parma Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Empoli win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Empoli 39%, draw 34%, Parma 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Empoli) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Empoli) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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