Curico Unido 2-1 Nublense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Cup, 10 May 2025

📅10/05/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.47
Draw
36%
2.94
Away
33%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.6
Over 2.5
48%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.95
No
52%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
12%
X/1
7%
X/2
11%
X/X
20%
2/1
3%
2/2
18%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
37%
-5.6pp
36%
Draw
30%
+6.1pp
33%
Away Win
33%
-0.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
59%
-7.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
41%
+7.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.5pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Curico Unido EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Nublense EU Bookmakers 37%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
0.10/0.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.00
-91% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +17%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
291 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.0
Crosses 14.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Curico Unido
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Nublense
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.94 xG 1.17
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
227 Passes 338
72% Pass Accuracy 78%
15 Box Touches 21
13 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 4
23.09.2023 Curico Unido Curico Unido 0-3 HT 0-2 Nublense Nublense ŞİL
18.03.2023 Nublense Nublense 1-2 HT 1-1 Curico Unido Curico Unido ŞİL
31.10.2022 Curico Unido Curico Unido 1-2 HT 1-1 Nublense Nublense ŞİL
23.05.2022 Nublense Nublense 3-1 HT 1-1 Curico Unido Curico Unido ŞİL
12.10.2021 Curico Unido Curico Unido 0-0 HT 0-0 Nublense Nublense ŞİL
22.05.2021 Nublense Nublense 2-0 HT 1-0 Curico Unido Curico Unido ŞİL
POST-MATCH Curico Unido vs Nublense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Curico Unido edged past Nublense 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 36% / 33% — and on the day Curico Unido made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nublense led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Curico Unido and 1.83 for Nublense.

What was the final score of Curico Unido vs Nublense?

Curico Unido 2-1 Nublense in the Chile - Cup on 10/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Curico Unido vs Nublense?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Curico Unido 31%, draw 36%, Nublense 33%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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