Universidad Chile 1-1 Recoleta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Cup, 10 May 2025

📅10/05/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.57
Draw
27%
3.94
Away
24%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
2.29
Over 2.5
42%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.61
No
55%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
59%
-9.7pp
27%
Draw
22%
+5.5pp
24%
Away Win
20%
+4.3pp
58%
Under 2.5
40%
+18.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
60%
-18.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
58%
-12.8pp
55%
BTTS No
42%
+12.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Universidad Chile EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Recoleta EU Bookmakers 23%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-26% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
302 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 72%
19.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
35.2 Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Universidad Chile
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Recoleta
6.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
61% Ball Possession 39%
19 Total Shots 10
12 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 4
5 Passes 0
1 Yellow Cards 2
30.01.2025 Recoleta Recoleta 1-6 HT 0-2 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile ŞİLİK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Universidad Chile
1-1
AWAY Recoleta
50% Ball Possession 50%
POST-MATCH Universidad Chile vs Recoleta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Universidad Chile and Recoleta couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Universidad Chile at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Universidad Chile had 50% of the ball to Recoleta's 50%.

What was the final score of Universidad Chile vs Recoleta?

Universidad Chile 1-1 Recoleta in the Chile - Cup on 10/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Universidad Chile vs Recoleta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Universidad Chile win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Universidad Chile 49%, draw 27%, Recoleta 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Universidad Chile), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Universidad Chile) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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