Lafnitz 1-5 Amstetten — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 10 May 2025

📅10/05/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
4.13
Draw
20%
4.08
Away
51%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.51
Over 2.5
60%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.56
No
42%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
5.02
2-3 Goals
40%
1.95
4-5 Goals
24%
2.61
6+ Goals
12%
6.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
7.66
1/2 EV+ ✗
12%
19.35
1/X
4%
16.1
X/1
13%
10.75
X/2
7%
4.4
X/X
10%
6.78
2/1
6%
35.0
2/2
32%
1.99
2/X
6%
14.65
Value flag · 1/2 at 19.35 — our 12% vs market 2.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
21%
+8.2pp
20%
Draw
21%
-0.9pp
51%
Away Win
58%
-7.3pp
40%
Under 2.5
36%
+3.9pp
60%
Over 2.5
64%
-3.9pp
58%
BTTS Yes
60%
-2.1pp
42%
BTTS No
40%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lafnitz EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Amstetten EU Bookmakers 62%
-7% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
1.40/2.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.52/2.94
+18% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -61%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
256 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 526 · 88%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
29.0 Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lafnitz
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Amstetten
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
08.11.2024 Amstetten Amstetten 5-0 HT 2-0 Lafnitz Lafnitz AU2
14.04.2024 Lafnitz Lafnitz 2-2 HT 0-0 Amstetten Amstetten AU2
22.09.2023 Amstetten Amstetten 1-2 HT 0-2 Lafnitz Lafnitz AU2
12.05.2023 Lafnitz Lafnitz 2-3 HT 1-1 Amstetten Amstetten AU2
07.10.2022 Amstetten Amstetten 0-1 HT 0-0 Lafnitz Lafnitz AU2
11.03.2022 Lafnitz Lafnitz 2-0 HT 2-0 Amstetten Amstetten AU2
POST-MATCH Lafnitz vs Amstetten
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Amstetten swept aside Lafnitz 5-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Amstetten as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lafnitz had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Lafnitz and 1.83 for Amstetten.

What was the final score of Lafnitz vs Amstetten?

Lafnitz 1-5 Amstetten in the Austria - 1st Division on 10/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lafnitz vs Amstetten?

Before kick-off our model rated an Amstetten win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Lafnitz 29%, draw 20%, Amstetten 51%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Amstetten), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Amstetten) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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