Lafnitz 2-2 Amstetten — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.46
Draw
30%
3.54
Away
31%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.15
Over 2.5
55%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.55
No
43%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.22
2-3 Goals
39%
1.86
4-5 Goals
27%
3.01
6+ Goals
12%
9.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.56
1/2
6%
25.5
1/X EV+ ✗
11%
13.05
X/1
11%
5.68
X/2
9%
5.61
X/X
11%
5.32
2/1
8%
25.5
2/2
15%
3.5
2/X
9%
13.05
Value flag · 1/X at 13.05 — our 11% vs market 4.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
37%
+1.7pp
30%
Draw
25%
+4.9pp
31%
Away Win
37%
-6.6pp
45%
Under 2.5
43%
+2.1pp
55%
Over 2.5
57%
-2.1pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-3.3pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lafnitz EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Amstetten EU Bookmakers 40%
-2% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +3%
1.76/1.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/1.47
+18% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -2%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
272 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 76%
14.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
11.9 Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lafnitz
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Amstetten
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
22.09.2023 Amstetten Amstetten 1-2 HT 0-2 Lafnitz Lafnitz AU2
12.05.2023 Lafnitz Lafnitz 2-3 HT 1-1 Amstetten Amstetten AU2
07.10.2022 Amstetten Amstetten 0-1 HT 0-0 Lafnitz Lafnitz AU2
11.03.2022 Lafnitz Lafnitz 2-0 HT 2-0 Amstetten Amstetten AU2
20.08.2021 Amstetten Amstetten 1-1 HT 0-1 Lafnitz Lafnitz AU2
05.03.2021 Amstetten Amstetten 2-0 HT 2-0 Lafnitz Lafnitz AU2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lafnitz
2-2
AWAY Amstetten
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 9
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Lafnitz vs Amstetten
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lafnitz and Amstetten shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 30% / 31% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Lafnitz had 53% of the ball to Amstetten's 47%, shots finished 10-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lafnitz had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Lafnitz and 1.17 for Amstetten.

What was the final score of Lafnitz vs Amstetten?

Lafnitz 2-2 Amstetten in the Austria - 1st Division on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lafnitz vs Amstetten?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lafnitz win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Lafnitz 39%, draw 30%, Amstetten 31%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Lafnitz) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lafnitz) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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