Austria Klagenfurt 1-4 Swarovski Tirol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 10 May 2025

📅10/05/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
35%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.86
Over 2.5
48%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.7
No
49%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
3.37
2-3 Goals
46%
1.84
4-5 Goals
19%
3.67
6+ Goals
10%
14.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.37 — our 25% vs market 25.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.24
1/2
8%
27.5
1/X
7%
13.0
X/1
12%
6.21
X/2
8%
5.48
X/X
18%
4.59
2/1
7%
30.5
2/2
19%
3.49
2/X
6%
12.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
+0.1pp
31%
Draw
28%
+3.0pp
36%
Away Win
39%
-3.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
50%
+2.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
50%
-2.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
-3.4pp
49%
BTTS No
45%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Austria Klagenfurt EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Swarovski Tirol EU Bookmakers 43%
+5% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.67/1.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.94/1.19
+37% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +10%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
295 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 74%
21.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.9
18.5 Crosses 22.6
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Austria Klagenfurt
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Swarovski Tirol
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.28 xG 2.22
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
375 Passes 257
76% Pass Accuracy 73%
21 Box Touches 25
17 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
12.04.2025 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol 5-3 HT 2-0 Austria Klagenfurt Austria Klagenfurt AVU
01.12.2024 Austria Klagenfurt Austria Klagenfurt 0-3 HT 0-1 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol AVU
24.08.2024 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol 0-1 HT 0-0 Austria Klagenfurt Austria Klagenfurt AVU
28.10.2023 Austria Klagenfurt Austria Klagenfurt 1-0 HT 1-0 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol AVU
29.07.2023 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol 1-3 HT 0-1 Austria Klagenfurt Austria Klagenfurt AVU
29.10.2022 Austria Klagenfurt Austria Klagenfurt 2-3 HT 1-2 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol AVU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Austria Klagenfurt
1-4
AWAY Swarovski Tirol
3.53 xG 1.82
51% Ball Possession 49%
19 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 6
11 Corners 5
300 Passes 287
79% Pass Accuracy 76%
28 Box Touches 22
26 Crosses 10
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Austria Klagenfurt vs Swarovski Tirol
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Swarovski Tirol cruised past Austria Klagenfurt 4-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 31% / 36% — and on the day Swarovski Tirol made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Austria Klagenfurt had 51% of the ball to Swarovski Tirol's 49%, shots finished 19-9, expected goals 3.53 to 1.82 — the balance of chances actually favoured Austria Klagenfurt.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Austria Klagenfurt and 2.00 for Swarovski Tirol.

What was the final score of Austria Klagenfurt vs Swarovski Tirol?

Austria Klagenfurt 1-4 Swarovski Tirol in the Austria - Bundesliga on 10/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Austria Klagenfurt vs Swarovski Tirol?

Before kick-off our model rated an Swarovski Tirol win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Austria Klagenfurt 34%, draw 31%, Swarovski Tirol 36%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Swarovski Tirol), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Swarovski Tirol) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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