Swarovski Tirol 0-1 Austria Klagenfurt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.19
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
35%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.03
Over 2.5
49%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.61
No
50%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
26%
3.83
2-3 Goals
40%
1.83
4-5 Goals
24%
3.2
6+ Goals
10%
10.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.83 — our 26% vs market 21.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.17
1/2
5%
29.0
1/X
8%
13.15
X/1
13%
5.09
X/2
15%
6.12
X/X
12%
5.09
2/1
9%
24.85
2/2
15%
4.1
2/X
7%
13.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-3.9pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.8pp
35%
Away Win
33%
+2.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
45%
+5.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
55%
-5.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.5pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Swarovski Tirol EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Austria Klagenfurt EU Bookmakers 37%
-6% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
1.50/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.60
-1% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +52% / -18%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
292 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 69%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.5
16.7 Crosses 18.7
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Swarovski Tirol
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Austria Klagenfurt
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.70 xG 1.24
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
317 Passes 289
71% Pass Accuracy 67%
23 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
28.10.2023 Austria Klagenfurt Austria Klagenfurt 1-0 HT 1-0 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol AVU
29.07.2023 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol 1-3 HT 0-1 Austria Klagenfurt Austria Klagenfurt AVU
29.10.2022 Austria Klagenfurt Austria Klagenfurt 2-3 HT 1-2 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol AVU
07.08.2022 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol 2-2 HT 2-0 Austria Klagenfurt Austria Klagenfurt AVU
04.12.2021 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol 0-1 HT 0-0 Austria Klagenfurt Austria Klagenfurt AVU
28.08.2021 Austria Klagenfurt Austria Klagenfurt 2-1 HT 2-1 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol AVU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Swarovski Tirol
0-1
AWAY Austria Klagenfurt
1.36 xG 1.65
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 7
347 Passes 284
80% Pass Accuracy 75%
26 Box Touches 27
16 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Swarovski Tirol vs Austria Klagenfurt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Austria Klagenfurt squeezed past Swarovski Tirol 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 27% / 35%) promised a tight game; Austria Klagenfurt found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Swarovski Tirol had 54% of the ball to Austria Klagenfurt's 46%, shots finished 13-14, expected goals 1.36 to 1.65.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Austria Klagenfurt led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Swarovski Tirol and 1.83 for Austria Klagenfurt.

What was the final score of Swarovski Tirol vs Austria Klagenfurt?

Swarovski Tirol 0-1 Austria Klagenfurt in the Austria - Bundesliga on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Swarovski Tirol vs Austria Klagenfurt?

Before kick-off our model rated a Swarovski Tirol win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Swarovski Tirol 38%, draw 27%, Austria Klagenfurt 35%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Swarovski Tirol) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Swarovski Tirol) ✓ Under 2.5
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